預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda

開賽時間: 2026-03-22 19:10 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

56 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Carlos Alcaraz (主隊)

預測 84.83%1.18公平賠率
EV -4.14%
優勢 -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.13

博彩公司預測分布
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sebastian Korda (客隊)

預測 15.17%6.59公平賠率
EV +6.16%
優勢 +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
成長率 +0.063%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Carlos Alcaraz (主隊):84.83%;Sebastian Korda (客隊):15.17%。 對於「Sebastian Korda (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.59的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.00,對應+6.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (56 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063%5.2%2026-03-22 19:05
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-22 19:05
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-22 19:04
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%5.0%2026-03-22 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:39
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:54
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 08:00
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 07:59
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:34
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 04:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:04
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 06:34
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:14
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 05:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 13:19
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:04
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-22 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-03-22 19:04
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-22 19:05
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-22 19:05
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-03-22 19:05