La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Predicción 84.83%1.18momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sebastian Korda (Visitante)
Predicción 15.17%6.59momio equitativo
EV +6.16%
Ventaja +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| GTbets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 08:00 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 07:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:34 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Fliff | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 06:34 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 05:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |