La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 84.83%1.18quota equa
EV -4.14%
Vantaggio -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Korda (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.17%6.59quota equa
EV +6.16%
Vantaggio +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.063%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| GTbets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 08:00 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 07:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:34 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Fliff | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 06:34 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 05:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |