Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-22 19:10 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 84.83%1.18faire Quote
EV -4.14%
Vorteil -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Korda (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.17%6.59faire Quote
EV +6.16%
Vorteil +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Wachstum +0.063%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063%5.2%2026-03-22 19:05
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-22 19:05
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-22 19:04
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%5.0%2026-03-22 18:45
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:39
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:54
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 08:00
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 07:59
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:34
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:49
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:55
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 04:09
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:04
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:05
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:29
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:54
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 06:34
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:14
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:04
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 05:04
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:40
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:04
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:04
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 13:19
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-22 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-03-22 19:04
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-22 19:05
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-22 19:05
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-03-22 19:05