L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 84.83%1.18cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sebastian Korda (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.17%6.59cote équitable
EV +6.16%
Avantage +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| GTbets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 08:00 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 07:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:34 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Fliff | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 06:34 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 05:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |