The School of Odds

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda

Matchstart: 2026-03-22 19:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 84.83%1.18rättvist odds
EV -4.14%
Fördel -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Korda (Borta)

Prognos 15.17%6.59rättvist odds
EV +6.16%
Fördel +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063%5.2%2026-03-22 19:05
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-22 19:05
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-22 19:04
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%5.0%2026-03-22 18:45
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:39
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:54
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 08:00
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 07:59
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:34
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:49
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:55
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 04:09
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:04
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:05
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:29
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:54
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 06:34
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:14
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:04
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 05:04
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:40
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:04
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:04
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 13:19
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-22 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-03-22 19:04
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-22 19:05
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-22 19:05
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-03-22 19:05