Язык:Русский
Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)
Прогноз 84.83%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.14%
Преимущество -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Sebastian Korda (Гости)
Прогноз 15.17%6.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.16%
Преимущество +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Рост +0.063%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева): 84.83%; Sebastian Korda (Гости): 15.17%. Для исхода «Sebastian Korda (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.59. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.16%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 10:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 08:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 07:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 18:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 04:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 06:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 05:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |