Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Sebastian Korda

Начало: 2026-03-22 19:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 84.83%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.14%
Преимущество -3.66%
Kelly -31.82%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
82.95%84.81%84.80%86.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.081.121.121.1392.59%89.63%89.29%88.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sebastian Korda (Гости)

Прогноз 15.17%6.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.16%
Преимущество +0.880%
Kelly +1.03%
Рост +0.063%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.49%15.19%15.20%17.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.406.156.007.0018.52%16.25%16.67%14.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.16%E +0.880%K +1.03%G +0.063%5.2%2026-03-22 19:05
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 86.51%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.49%EV +6.01%E +0.859%K +1.00%G +0.060%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-22 19:05
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.37%E +0.351%K +0.412%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV +2.22%E +0.329%K +0.386%G +0.009%4.1%2026-03-22 19:04
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%5.0%2026-03-22 18:45
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.01%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV +1.61%E +0.240%K +0.282%G +0.005%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -0.665%E -0.102%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 10:39
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -0.817%E -0.125%K -0.147%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 18:54
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 08:00
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 07:59
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:04
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.53%E -6.91%K -83.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -1.42%E -0.219%K -0.259%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 18:34
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -2.94%E -0.459%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -3.85%E -0.607%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 08:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -4.46%E -0.707%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:49
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:55
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 04:09
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.21%E -0.834%K -0.993%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 19:04
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 85.06%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.94%EV -6.73%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 19:05
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -7.49%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 22:05
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:55
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 18:54
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:29
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 18:54
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 06:34
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 11:14
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:04
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:05
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 05:04
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.38%E -7.76%K -104.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.01%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 18:40
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.68%E -6.07%K -66.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -12.04%E -2.08%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 19:04
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.80%E -2.23%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:04
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.07%E -2.69%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 19:05
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.14%E -3.66%K -31.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:04
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.99%E -4.45%K -41.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 13:19
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -16.59%E -3.02%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -5.83%E -5.26%K -53.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -18.11%E -3.35%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-03-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-22 19:05
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-03-22 19:04
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-03-22 19:05
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.6%2026-03-22 19:05
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-03-22 19:05