A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone

Início: 2026-04-23 11:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 37.29%2.68odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mariano Navone (Visitante)

Previsão 62.71%1.59odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 11:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 11:34
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:34
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 11:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:39
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:35
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:33
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 11:44
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:35
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:44
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:34
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:43
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:45
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:45
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:35
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:45
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:34
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:44
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:39
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:39
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 11:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 11:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-23 11:45
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%3.4%2026-04-23 11:45