Die Wettquotenschule

Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-23 11:50 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nuno Borges (Heim)

Prognose 37.29%2.68faire Quote
EV +2.92%
Vorteil +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
Wachstum +0.049%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Mariano Navone (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.71%1.59faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 11:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:35
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 11:34
SportsBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:34
BetOnline.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:34
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 11:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 11:39
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:45
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:35
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:33
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 11:44
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:34
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:35
Unibet (UK)2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 11:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:44
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:34
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:43
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:44
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:45
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 11:45
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:35
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 11:34
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:39
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:45
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:34
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:34
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:44
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:39
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:39
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:39
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 11:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 11:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-23 11:45
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-23 11:45
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%3.4%2026-04-23 11:45