L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prévision 37.29%2.68cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.049%
avec la cote maximale 2.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Mariano Navone (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.71%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:43 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |