Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Nuno Borges (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 37.29%2.68kurs godziwy
EV +2.92%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
Wzrost +0.049%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.76
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Mariano Navone (Goście)
Prognoza 62.71%1.59kurs godziwy
EV -2.17%
Przewaga -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:43 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |