La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nuno Borges (Local)
Predicción 37.29%2.68momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mariano Navone (Visitante)
Predicción 62.71%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:43 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |