مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Nuno Borges v Mariano Navone
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Nuno Borges (المضيف)
التنبؤ 37.29%2.68السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +1.06%
Kelly +1.66%
النمو +0.049%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.76
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.52%37.10%37.50%39.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.81%40.00%36.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Mariano Navone (الضيف)
التنبؤ 62.71%1.59السعر العادل
EV -2.17%
الأفضلية -1.39%
Kelly -3.88%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.56
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.85%62.90%62.50%65.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.501.5669.44%66.44%66.67%64.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV +2.92%E +1.06%K +1.66%G +0.049% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.55%E +0.927%K +1.46%G +0.037% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -0.060%E -0.023%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -0.806%E -0.303%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -1.92%E -0.732%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.30%E -0.877%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Caesars | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.04%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.70%E -6.74%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.91%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.65%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:43 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.77%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.07%E -6.26%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.80%E -1.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.82%E -5.32%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -9.38%E -3.86%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.17%E -1.39%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.43%E -2.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.06%E -2.65%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.50%E -4.38%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -11.25%E -4.73%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.31%E -3.52%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.94%E -3.96%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.37%E -5.26%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -6.56%E -4.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -14.23%E -6.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.19%E -4.86%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |