赔率学院

Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic

开赛时间: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Joao Fonseca (主队)

预测 76.85%1.30公平赔率
EV -1.64%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MIN均值中位数MAX

Marin Cilic (客队)

预测 23.15%4.32公平赔率
EV +4.42%
优势 +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
增长率 +0.056%

假设最高赔率为 4.51

博彩公司预测分布
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:18
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:55
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:24
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27%1.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-24 03:10