The School of Odds

Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic

Matchstart: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Hemma)

Prognos 76.85%1.30rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Marin Cilic (Borta)

Prognos 23.15%4.32rättvist odds
EV +4.42%
Fördel +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Tillväxt +0.056%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.51

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:18
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:55
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:24
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27%1.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-24 03:10