Langue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 76.85%1.30cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marin Cilic (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.15%4.32cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 4.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Joao Fonseca (Local) : 76.85% ; Marin Cilic (Visiteur) : 23.15%. Pour Marin Cilic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.32. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.51, soit une espérance positive de +4.42%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |