Школа коэффициентов

Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic

Начало: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Хозяева)

Прогноз 76.85%1.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.64%
Преимущество -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.28

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marin Cilic (Гости)

Прогноз 23.15%4.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.42%
Преимущество +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Рост +0.056%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.51

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:18
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:55
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:24
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27%1.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-24 03:10