Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 76.85%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -1.64%
Przewaga -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.28
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marin Cilic (Goście)
Prognoza 23.15%4.32kurs godziwy
EV +4.42%
Przewaga +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Wzrost +0.056%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.51
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| GTbets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Novig | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |