Lingua:Italiano
Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Joao Fonseca (Casa)
Previsione 76.85%1.30quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Marin Cilic (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.15%4.32quota equa
EV +4.42%
Vantaggio +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Crescita +0.056%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Joao Fonseca (Casa): 76.85%; Marin Cilic (Trasferta): 23.15%. Per Marin Cilic (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.32. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.51, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.42%.
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 06:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |