Die Wettquotenschule

Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 76.85%1.30faire Quote
EV -1.64%
Vorteil -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.28

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Marin Cilic (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.15%4.32faire Quote
EV +4.42%
Vorteil +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:18
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:55
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:24
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27%1.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-24 03:10