مدرسة الاحتمالات

Joao Fonseca v Marin Cilic

البداية: 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Joao Fonseca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 76.85%1.30السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -1.28%
Kelly -5.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.28

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.25%76.88%76.92%78.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.89%80.65%78.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marin Cilic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.15%4.32السعر العادل
EV +4.42%
الأفضلية +0.981%
Kelly +1.26%
النمو +0.056%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.15%23.12%23.08%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.064.004.5126.67%24.61%25.00%22.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +4.42%E +0.981%K +1.26%G +0.056%4.8%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +3.04%E +0.682%K +0.880%G +0.027%5.1%2026-04-23 21:24
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.88%E +0.427%K +0.552%G +0.010%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.257%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:24
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.438%E -0.102%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 00:25
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.60%E -0.375%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:15
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.81%EV -1.64%E -1.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 23.19%EV -1.83%E -0.431%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.75%E -0.656%K -0.860%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.17%E -2.52%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -3.45%E -0.827%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:40
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -3.91%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:24
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:18
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 00:15
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.02%E -5.80%K -33.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.07%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:24
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:25
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:24
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 19:45
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:00
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:24
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 21:25
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:24
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.78%E -6.49%K -38.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.38%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:55
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.54%E -2.16%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.49%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 09:24
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:04
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.71%E -3.80%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 10:34
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.48%E -4.45%K -23.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.94%E -3.15%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:39
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -12.01%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.25%E -5.12%K -28.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.17%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 76.73%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.27%1.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-04-24 03:10