语言:简体中文
Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jannik Sinner (主队)
预测 83.32%1.20公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.18
博彩公司预测分布
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arthur Fils (客队)
预测 16.68%5.99公平赔率
EV +8.43%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
增长率 +0.129%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jannik Sinner (主队)：83.32%；Arthur Fils (客队)：16.68%。 对于“Arthur Fils (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.99。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+8.43%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 03:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 08:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |