L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Prévision 83.32%1.20cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.68%5.99cote équitable
EV +8.43%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.129%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 11:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 03:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Fliff | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 10:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:43 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 08:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |