StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-01 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jannik Sinner (Heim)

Prognose 83.32%1.20faire Quote
EV -1.68%
Vorteil -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.68%5.99faire Quote
EV +8.43%
Vorteil +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Wachstum +0.129%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jannik Sinner (Heim): 83.32%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 16.68%. Für Arthur Fils (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.99. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%4.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%5.5%2026-05-01 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085%5.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023%6.2%2026-05-01 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 08:10
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 05:53
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 05:53
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:40
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:25
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 09:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 07:25
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 03:10
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 11:45
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 05:53
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:45
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:39
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-30 23:59
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 11:40
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 08:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-01 11:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-05-01 11:40