La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jannik Sinner (Local)
Predicción 83.32%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 16.68%5.99momio equitativo
EV +8.43%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 11:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 08:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| BetUS | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 07:25 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-01 03:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Fliff | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 10:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:43 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-01 08:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 01:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 11:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 11:40 |