Школа коэффициентов

Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils

Начало: 2026-05-01 14:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Хозяева)

Прогноз 83.32%1.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.68%
Преимущество -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Arthur Fils (Гости)

Прогноз 16.68%5.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.43%
Преимущество +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Рост +0.129%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%4.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%5.5%2026-05-01 11:39
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085%5.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023%6.2%2026-05-01 11:44
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 08:10
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 05:53
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 11:39
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 00:00
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 05:53
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:40
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:25
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 07:25
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 03:10
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 11:45
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 05:53
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:45
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:39
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 10:59
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-30 23:59
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 11:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:43
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 08:08
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:45
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-01 11:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-05-01 11:40