Szkoła Kursów

Jannik Sinner v Arthur Fils

Początek: 2026-05-01 14:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 83.32%1.20kurs godziwy
EV -1.68%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -9.36%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.86%83.09%83.63%85.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.111.151.151.1890.09%86.79%86.96%84.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Arthur Fils (Goście)

Prognoza 16.68%5.99kurs godziwy
EV +8.43%
Przewaga +1.30%
Kelly +1.53%
Wzrost +0.129%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.59%16.91%16.37%19.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.905.415.256.5020.41%18.50%19.05%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%4.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.43%E +1.30%K +1.53%G +0.129%5.5%2026-05-01 11:39
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.76%E +1.06%K +1.25%G +0.085%5.7%2026-05-01 11:40
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.52%E -6.77%K -68.34%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +3.43%E +0.553%K +0.659%G +0.023%6.2%2026-05-01 11:44
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.70%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.30%EV +0.258%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-01 08:10
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-01 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-01 05:53
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.091%E +0.015%K +0.018%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-01 11:39
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -0.576%E -0.097%K -0.116%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 00:00
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -2.24%E -0.383%K -0.462%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 05:53
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:40
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 11:39
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.24%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 07:25
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.08%E -0.709%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -6.58%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 07:25
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -7.25%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 03:10
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 82.41%EV -1.68%E -1.43%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.59%EV -7.75%E -1.40%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-01 11:45
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 05:53
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:45
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 11:39
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.97%K -55.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.25%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.57%EV -10.75%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 10:59
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-30 23:59
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.42%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 11:40
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:43
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:45
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 01:44
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.52%E -2.15%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.18%E -3.64%K -27.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.59%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 08:08
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:45
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -3.35%E -2.89%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -18.26%E -3.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 01:44
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:45
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-05-01 11:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-05-01 11:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-05-01 11:40