Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 72.25%1.38fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV +0.736%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 72.25%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 27.75%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.736%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 01:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |