A Escola das Odds

Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann

Início: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Previsão 72.25%1.38odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)

Previsão 27.75%3.60odd justa
EV +0.736%
Vantagem +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:19
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:14
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:14
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:34
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:13
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%12.8%2026-04-23 13:55