Szkoła Kursów

Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann

Początek: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 72.25%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -3.19%
Przewaga -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.34

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Yannick Hanfmann (Goście)

Prognoza 27.75%3.60kurs godziwy
EV +0.736%
Przewaga +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:19
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:14
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:14
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:34
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:13
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%12.8%2026-04-23 13:55