StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Francisco Cerundolo (Heim)

Prognose 72.25%1.38faire Quote
EV -3.19%
Vorteil -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.75%3.60faire Quote
EV +0.736%
Vorteil +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Francisco Cerundolo (Heim): 72.25%; Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts): 27.75%. Für Yannick Hanfmann (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.60. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.63 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.736%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:10
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:14
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:19
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:13
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%12.8%2026-04-23 13:55