مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann

البداية: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.25%1.38السعر العادل
EV -3.19%
الأفضلية -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.75%3.60السعر العادل
EV +0.736%
الأفضلية +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:54
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 17:10
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 01:19
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 01:30
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 01:14
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:49
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Virgin Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:49
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:14
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 17:34
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:15
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:15
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 15:25
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:13
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 01:19
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 01:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59%1.5%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%2.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-04-24 01:15
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%12.8%2026-04-23 13:55