La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)
Previsione 72.25%1.38quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.75%3.60quota equa
EV +0.736%
Vantaggio +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.63
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 01:13 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |