La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 72.25%1.38momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -9.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.60%72.21%72.31%73.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.71%76.92%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 27.75%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.736%
Ventaja +0.203%
Kelly +0.280%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.79%27.69%29.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.423.453.6332.79%29.20%28.99%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV +0.736%E +0.203%K +0.280%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.097%E -0.027%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.418%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.29%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.71%EV -1.76%E -0.498%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -2.32%E -0.658%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.87%E -0.821%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.26%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.19%E -2.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -6.48%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.35%E -4.09%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 15:25 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.52%E -5.88%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.91%E -2.94%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 01:13 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.08%E -4.67%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 01:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.60%EV -8.24%E -6.49%K -30.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.77%EV -8.97%E -7.12%K -34.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -15.36%E -5.04%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:55 |