StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 15:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Hemma)

Prognos 66.24%1.51rättvist odds
EV -3.95%
Fördel -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Gianluca Cadenasso (Borta)

Prognos 33.76%2.96rättvist odds
EV +5.66%
Fördel +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
Tillväxt +0.150%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Hemma): 66.24%; Gianluca Cadenasso (Borta): 33.76%. För Gianluca Cadenasso (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.96. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.13, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.66%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150%4.9%2026-05-07 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:54
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:55
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10