مدرسة الاحتمالات

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso

البداية: 2026-05-07 15:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (المضيف)

التنبؤ 66.24%1.51السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gianluca Cadenasso (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.76%2.96السعر العادل
EV +5.66%
الأفضلية +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
النمو +0.150%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150%4.9%2026-05-07 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:54
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:55
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:54
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10