Szkoła Kursów

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso

Początek: 2026-05-07 15:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

58 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 66.24%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -3.95%
Przewaga -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Gianluca Cadenasso (Goście)

Prognoza 33.76%2.96kurs godziwy
EV +5.66%
Przewaga +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
Wzrost +0.150%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.13

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150%4.9%2026-05-07 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:54
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 14:55
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:55
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 14:55
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 14:55
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 14:55
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:55
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 14:54
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 14:54
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 14:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 14:54
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-07 14:55
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-07 15:10