La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 66.24%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gianluca Cadenasso (Visitante)
Predicción 33.76%2.96momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.150%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |