La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)
Previsione 66.24%1.51quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Gianluca Cadenasso (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.76%2.96quota equa
EV +5.66%
Vantaggio +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
Crescita +0.150%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.13
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |