L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Gianluca Cadenasso
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prévision 66.24%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -8.77%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%66.34%66.20%69.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.421.421.4572.99%70.35%70.42%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gianluca Cadenasso (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.76%2.96cote équitable
EV +5.66%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +2.66%
Croissance +0.150%
avec la cote maximale 3.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.44%33.66%33.80%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.832.843.1337.74%35.33%35.15%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV +5.66%E +1.81%K +2.66%G +0.150% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.20%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -0.419%E -0.142%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.09%E -0.373%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.11%E -0.727%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.78%E -0.966%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.79%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.13%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.47%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.60%E -4.68%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.55%E -3.98%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |