StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 17:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sebastian Ofner (Hemma)

Prognos 60.72%1.65rättvist odds
EV -1.64%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Borta)

Prognos 39.28%2.55rättvist odds
EV +0.172%
Fördel +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sebastian Ofner (Hemma): 60.72%; Alex Michelsen (Borta): 39.28%. För Alex Michelsen (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.546. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.550, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.172%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:44
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:50
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:10
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:53
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:44
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 16:45
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 16:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 16:45
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 17:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-05-07 17:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-07 17:15