L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Ofner (Local)
Prévision 60.72%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.28%2.55cote équitable
EV +0.172%
Avantage +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:53 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |