Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 17:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Ofner (Heim)

Prognose 60.72%1.65faire Quote
EV -1.64%
Vorteil -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.28%2.55faire Quote
EV +0.172%
Vorteil +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 17:15
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 17:04
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:44
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 16:45
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 16:55
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:44
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 16:45
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:44
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 17:05
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:45
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 16:50
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 16:54
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:10
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:45
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 17:15
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 16:45
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:44
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 16:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 16:53
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 16:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 17:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:44
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 16:45
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 16:45
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 16:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 16:45
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 17:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 16:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-07 17:15
Novig1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-05-07 17:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-07 17:15