مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Sebastian Ofner (المضيف)
التنبؤ 60.72%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Alex Michelsen (الضيف)
التنبؤ 39.28%2.55السعر العادل
EV +0.172%
الأفضلية +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:53 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |