Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Sebastian Ofner (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 60.72%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -1.64%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Alex Michelsen (Goście)
Prognoza 39.28%2.55kurs godziwy
EV +0.172%
Przewaga +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:53 |
| DraftKings | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Novig | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |