Lingua:Italiano
Sebastian Ofner v Alex Michelsen
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Sebastian Ofner (Casa)
Previsione 60.72%1.65quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.28%60.75%60.76%62.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.561.551.6266.67%64.18%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Trasferta)
Previsione 39.28%2.55quota equa
EV +0.172%
Vantaggio +0.067%
Kelly +0.111%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.62%39.25%39.24%40.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.412.402.5543.48%41.53%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sebastian Ofner (Casa): 60.72%; Alex Michelsen (Trasferta): 39.28%. Per Alex Michelsen (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.546. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.550, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.172%.
Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.172%E +0.067%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -1.01%E -0.399%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.79%E -0.717%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.36%E -1.37%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.76%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.15%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.54%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.94%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.33%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.64%E -1.01%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.46%E -2.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.50%E -4.22%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.10%E -4.64%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.51%E -2.73%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 16:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -2.85%E -1.78%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.90%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.28%E -3.39%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.71%E -5.07%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.92%E -5.95%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.07%E -2.57%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.67%E -2.98%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.89%E -3.80%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 16:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |