语言:简体中文
Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Matteo Arnaldi (主队)
预测 56.95%1.76公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.73
博彩公司预测分布
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jaume Munar (客队)
预测 43.05%2.32公平赔率
EV +1.18%
优势 +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Matteo Arnaldi (主队)：56.95%；Jaume Munar (客队)：43.05%。 对于“Jaume Munar (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.32。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.35，对应+1.18%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:27 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |