L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prévision 56.95%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jaume Munar (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.05%2.32cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betsson | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ReBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:09 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 13:27 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:14 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 13:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 13:20 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 13:15 |