Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar

Начало: 2026-05-06 13:40 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

60 букмекерских контор (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.95%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jaume Munar (Гости)

Прогноз 43.05%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.18%
Преимущество +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010%3.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 13:15
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:14
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:20
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:27
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:15
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 13:15
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-06 13:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-05-06 13:15