مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Arnaldi v Jaume Munar

البداية: 2026-05-06 13:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.95%1.76السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.857%
Kelly -2.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.83%56.87%56.92%58.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.92%59.88%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jaume Munar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.05%2.32السعر العادل
EV +1.18%
الأفضلية +0.500%
Kelly +0.870%
النمو +0.010%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.25%43.13%43.08%45.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.69%45.45%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.18%E +0.500%K +0.870%G +0.010%3.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -2.27%E -1.000%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:20
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.70%E -1.19%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 13:15
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.13%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.56%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:14
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 13:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.99%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 13:15
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.76%E -2.22%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.42%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.85%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:20
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:09
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 13:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:15
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 13:27
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:15
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 13:15
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.03%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 13:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:15
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.18%E -4.40%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 13:29
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.44%E -3.46%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:20
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.48%E -0.857%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 13:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.59%E -4.57%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 13:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 13:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-06 13:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-06 13:20
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.3%2026-05-06 13:15